How to read it
What goes into it
Eight buckets, weighted and combined:- Equities — index returns, sector dispersion
- Volatility — VIX, MOVE, term structure, vol regime
- Credit — HY spreads (HYG vs SPY)
- Breadth — A/D, % above moving averages
- Yields — front-end vs long-end direction
- Gold — defensive haven flow
- Dollar — DXY direction
- Sector tilts — defensive vs cyclical leadership
Why a bounded scale
A bounded scale means today’s score is directly comparable to last Tuesday’s, last quarter’s, last year’s. The percentile next to the score (e.g.,p57) tells you where today sits in the historical distribution.
Under the hood the score is computed on a −1 to +1 scale and shown ×100 as a clean integer (e.g. +42). Same number, friendlier display — it shares the −100..+100 convention with the sentiment score.