How to read it
What goes into it
Eight buckets, weighted and combined:- Equities — index returns, sector dispersion
- Volatility — VIX, MOVE, term structure, vol regime
- Credit — HY spreads (HYG vs SPY)
- Breadth — A/D, % above moving averages
- Yields — front-end vs long-end direction
- Gold — defensive haven flow
- Dollar — DXY direction
- Sector tilts — defensive vs cyclical leadership
Why a bounded scale
A bounded scale means today’s score is directly comparable to last Tuesday’s, last quarter’s, last year’s. The percentile next to the score (e.g., “57th %ile”) tells you where today sits in the historical distribution.Under the hood the score is computed on a −1 to +1 scale and shown ×100 as a clean integer (e.g. +42). Same number, friendlier display — it shares the −100..+100 convention with the sentiment score.